Season Progress
Current Projected Cut Line
Available after 10 games
Lindy's Five Target
94 pts to go
→ 98 pts • 1.16 pts/game
If the Lightning Finish With...
96 pts
44%
97 pts
47%
98 pts
50%
99 pts
53%
100 pts
56%
101 pts
59%
102 pts
62%
103 pts
65%
Game Sets
Set 1
Oct 1-10
Set 2
Oct 13-23
Set 3
Oct 24 - Nov 5
Set 4
Nov 7-14
Set 5
Nov 17-27
Set 6
Nov 28 - Dec 10
Set 7
Dec 12-19
Set 8
Dec 20-29
Set 9
Dec 31 - Jan 9
Set 10
Jan 11-21
Set 11
Jan 23 - Feb 3
Set 12
Feb 12-20
Set 13
Feb 23 - Mar 3
Set 14
Mar 5-13
Set 15
Mar 15-23
Set 16
Mar 25 - Apr 3
Set 17
Apr 5-10
Lightning Season So Far
The Tampa Bay Lightning are 2-1-0 with 4 points through 3 games of the 2026-27 season, 3rd in the Atlantic Division and 6th in the Eastern Conference. The model gives them a 61% chance to make the playoffs. This early in the season that number leans mostly on their preseason projection and moves after every game. They're on a W2 streak, 2-1-0 over their last 10, with a +1 goal differential (8 for, 7 against), 2-0-0 at home and 0-1-0 on the road.
Atlantic Division Standings
| Team | GP | W | L | OTL | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Senators | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Lightning | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Sabres | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Maple Leafs | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Bruins | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Canadiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Red Wings | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Current 5-game set (Set 1): 2-1-0, 4 of 10 points. Last game: W 4-1 vs PHI (10/05/2026). Next game: vs MIN, 10/08/2026 at 7:00 PM.
More: NHL playoff odds for all 32 teams · NHL scores · Lightning tickets · Lightning gear
Lightning Playoff FAQ
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning make the playoffs in 2027?
- As of today the Tampa Bay Lightning have a 61% chance to make the 2027 playoffs. They are 2-1-0 (4 points), 3rd in the Atlantic.
- What are the Tampa Bay Lightning's playoff odds?
- The Tampa Bay Lightning's playoff odds are 61%, based on their preseason projection blended with their results through 3 games, their 3rd-place division position, and the current wild card cut line. The number updates after every game.
- What are the Tampa Bay Lightning's Stanley Cup odds?
- Stanley Cup odds start with making the playoffs, which the Tampa Bay Lightning currently have a 61% chance to do. Once the bracket is set, this page shows their series-by-series Cup odds and playoff journey.
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